OK, it’s 30 or so hours until the Oscars are revealed, and thus I offer my predictions in the main categories.
The King’s Speech: Best Film, and Best Actor for Colin Firth (thus securing the award he should have won for A Single Man), and Best Supporting Actor for Geoffrey Rush
The Social Network: Best Director for David Fincher, and Best Adapted Screenplay for Aaron Sorkin
Black Swan: Best Actress for Natalie Portman
Inception: Best Original Screenplay
True Grit: Best Supporting Actress for Hailee Steinfeld, and Best Cinematography for Roger Deakins
Toy Story 3: Best Animated Film
Of course, I could be well off, but I don’t expect King’s Speech to sweep the boards. With $237.5m banked already (from a $15m production, although the ad spend is not known at this stage, but clearly well north of what the film cost to make), the question remains how far King’s Speech can go. Surely the UK audience is sated (the film should cross the £40m barrier this weekend)? Oscar wins could add another $40m in the US to its running total of $107m.
But in key non-English-speaking territories, the film has not yet quite caught fire, and the Oscars could really help there.
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