With Awards season about to get in full swing, it's time to look at the favourites - and the big question is not whether Avatar will win Best Film (if it does, I'll never go to the cinema again), but whether Kathryn Bigelow will become the first women to win Best Director at the Oscars...The Golden Globes announce their winners on Sunday (17 January), followed swiftly by the BAFTA noms on 21 January, the Oscar noms on 2 February, the BAFTA winners on 21 February, and finally the Oscars winners on 7 March.
The latest issue of Screen International features an analysis of the winners of the 20 major awards events so far - and that analysis suggests some heavily-backed favourites.
The most successful film so far is The Hurt Locker, with 10 wins; only Up In The Air can offer any resistance with 5 wins. Director of The Hurt Locker, Kathryn Bigelow, dominates her category with 15 wins; Jason Reitman, for Up In The Air, and QT, for Inglorious Basterds, offer only token opposition with 2 wins apiece.
Best Actor sees George Clooney securing nine wins for Up In The Air, with The Hurt Locker's Jeremy Renner taking 4. Surprisingly, Morgan Freeman, as Nelson Mandela in Invictus, has only secured 1 win.
Best Actress is a fight to the death between Meryl Streep and Carey Mulligan, with 7 and 6 wins apiece for Julie & Julia and An Education respectively.
Best Supporting Actor is dominated by Christoph Waltz in Inglorious Basterds - he has secured 18 wins - while Best Supporting Actress is similarly dominated by Mo'Nique in Precious with 16 wins (token resistance comes from the brilliant Anna Kendrick in Up In The Air).
Best Documentary is a fight between The Cove (8 wins) and Anvil! (5 wins), while the Best Animated Film is weighted in favour of Up, with 12 wins.
This Awards season could be anyone's - it really is an open field. And Avatar? It was named Best Film by New York Film Critics Online...
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