Kathryn Bigelow picked up yet another significant trophy over the weekend: she won the Directors Guild of America's Award for Outstanding Directorial Achievement for The Hurt Locker - and thus becomes the first woman to win the award.
In tasting victory, she beat her ex-husband, James Cameron. The win is doubly (or indeed trebly) significant because the Oscar noms are out later on Monday; she will feature among the noms, and history reveals that only twice in the past 10 years has the DGA winner not gone on to win the Oscar.
Thus at this stage, the key fight for Best Film and Best Director appears to be between Cameron and Bigelow and their respective movies. Ahead of the noms, I'd venture Jeff Bridges will win Best Actor, while Sandra Bullock will surprise everyone with Best Actress. It's hard to see Christoph Waltz being beaten for Best Supporting Actor, but I suspect another upset in Best Supporting Actress simply because Precious is too depressing for the Academy - so look to Vera Farmiga in Up The Air to take it.
Meanwhile, another astonishing hold both in the US and abroad means Avatar has soared beyond the $2bn mark; $2.5bn now seems a real possibility.
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